Las cosas van reguleras.. a ver lo que aguanta esto:
Global public debt to pass $100tn this year, warns IMF
Global public debt is on track to exceed $100tn by the end of this year, the International Monetary Fund has warned.
Global public debt is very high. It is expected to exceed $100 trillion, or about 93% of global gross domestic product by the end of this year and will approach 100% of GDP by 2030.
This is 10 percentage points of GDP above 2019, that is, before the pandemic.
Photograph: IMF
The IMF is worried that this high debt reduces the fiscal space available to governments to respond to economic downturns, making it harder to make growth-enhancing investments.
It also raises the risk of sovereign distress – ie, countries struggling to repay their debts.
The Fund is also concerned that the fiscal outlook of many countries might be worse than expected – it cites three reasons: large spending pressures, optimism bias of debt projections, and sizable unidentified debt.
It adds:
And countries will need to increasingly spend more to cope with aging and healthcare; with the green transition and climate adaptation; and with defense and energy security, due to growing geopolitical tensions.
This means that debt-to-GDP ratios in five-years time could be as much as 10 percentage points of GDP higher than projected on average, it warns – if, for example, growth was weaker than expected or financial conditions are tighter.