Pulso de Mercado: Intradía

Tiene toda la pinta q este año terminamos mal.s2

Posible rebote del DAX.

Aquí tienes una visión publicada este fin de semana sobre Revolut: tiene una licencia para prestar servicios bancarios desde el móvil expedida por el Banco Central de Lituania.

Is Lithuania another Iceland banking crisis in the making?

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2018/dec/22/lithuania-iceland-banking-revolut

En Lituania tienen una organización llamada "invest in Lithuania" que informa, sesgadamente desde luego, a potenciales inversores para animarlos a crear empresas o deslocalizarse en Lituania.

En el artículo se cuestionan las bondades de tales prácticas; aquí tienes un extracto:

"It is almost exactly 10 years since the 300,000 British customers lured into Icesave by high interest rates woke up to find that their £4bn in deposits had disappeared when parent company Landsbanki collapsed and the country’s entire financial system went into meltdown.

Iceland’s deposit protection scheme instantly fell over. How could it not? A tiny country with a population about the same as Brighton found itself as the guarantor for savers across Europe, with Dutch as well as British savers heavily invested in the Landsbanki accounts. Today, we’re told, it’s all different. Banks have been forced to raise more capital, supervision and solvency testing is much more robust, and the EU has set a €100,000 (£90,000) minimum deposit protection level for member states.

But let’s take a look at Lithuania, a country of 2.8 million people, where average wages are about a third of those in the UK. Its central bank, the Bank of Lithuania, is keenly promoting itself as a go-to hub for fintech (financial technology) companies.

Its own website – and this is the regulator, not a commercial bank – tries to entice new banks to obtain their EU licence in Lithuania, promising “smooth authorisation” and a “cooperative attitude”. Extraordinarily, it even promises “no regulatory sanctions for the first year of operations”. Why would any bank regulator want to make such a remarkable statement?

This would be of little interest to us if it concerned just Lithuania. But once a start-up obtains a banking licence from Lithuania, it can, under the EU’s “passporting” rules, operate anywhere across the union.

Last week, London-based Revolut, one of the fastest-growing smartphone-based banking services in the UK, announced it had obtained its European banking licence and will start accepting deposits as it “edges further towards its goal of becoming the Amazon of banking”. Revolut is based in London’s Canary Wharf, here so you might expect its licence would come from the nearby Bank of England. But no, the new licence is from the Bank of Lithuania."

En TheGuardian no parecen muy optimistas:

US prepares to hit the wall as reckless Trump undoes years of hard work

The president’s $1tn tax cuts gamble hasn’t worked – the House of Representatives has been lost, the economy has imploded and the stock market has tanked

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/dec/23/us-hits-wall-trump-undoes-hard-work-economy

Will there be a recession? What small business owners can expect in 2019

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/dec/23/small-business-recession-markets-labor-trump

More than 30,000 UK retailers in 'significant' financial distress

Data shows online retailers not immune from shopping slump in lead-up to this Christmas

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/dec/23/high-street-online-uk-retailers-significant-financial-distress-christmas-shopping

Voy a dar mi opinión del DOW JONES para mañana,y es subida ojalá no me equivoque

Buenas tardes en ese gráfico se ve un RD alcista
Un saludo y mañana se vera

El año pasado fue el rallye en reyes.

Qué lejos estamos de aquellos 10595,40 del Trilex al cierre del día 26 de enero de 2017. Ahí si que hubo rally postreyes. El 5 de febrero marcó por última vez los 10064,50, al cierre  y a partir de ahí, todos sabemos lo que paso con nuestro Trilex y fue BAJAR Y BAJAR , hasta los rangos actuales, de 8556,80. Exactamente  hemos perdido entre esa fecha de ese máximo y el cierre del viernes pasado así como 2038,60 puntos y eso que iniciamos el año con la sesión del 02 de enero, cerrando el Trilex en 10079,10.

Saludos Carlos . Ahora mismo los futuros sobre el Ibex pintan bastos, pero bien es verdad que prácticamente son del viernes por la noche. Menos mal que los de Mr.Jones y el S&P500 estaban en verde. Dentro de unas horas veremos lo que va a pasar mañana, si nos van a dar un día bueno , para afrontar una noche buena mejor. En cualquier caso, aunque apueste nuevamente al rojo y nuestras carteras se queden todavía más famélicas, lo mejor es estar en familia y con salud, a pesar de que nos nos haya tocado la lotería y la bolsa haya pisado un gran abelarda, con nuestras carteras bien jodidas.